The College Football Playoff Eliminator: Week 11

As the College Football Playoff (CFP) rankings are released this week, we look at where every eligible playoff team stands as the season turns towards conference leaders and crucial late-season games.

Teams are listed in order of if they were to win their remaining games, who has the best chance at reaching the CFP. Here is where we stand on a national level this season:

1. #1 LSU (SEC, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: @ #2 Alabama

Alabama and LSU head into a SEC West Championship game in Tuscaloosa this Saturday, with Heisman candidate QBs Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa looking to face off in a game for the ages. The question surrounding this game will be if the loser is worthy of a top-4 spot by season’s end.

2. #2 Alabama (SEC, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: vs #1 LSU

Alabama is looking for QB Tua Tagovailoa to be healthy to start against the Tigers on Saturday to decide the West. Either team would be in the driver’s seat of the CFP race with a win, but the loser would not be completely eliminated either.

3. #3 Ohio State (Big Ten, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: vs Maryland

The Buckeyes get the lowliest teams in the East in Maryland and Rutgers before facing off against two of the best with Penn State and Michigan. With firepower on both sides of the ball, the weaknesses have yet to show this season.

4. #5 Penn State (Big Ten, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: @ #13 Minnesota

Penn State could make a huge statement with a win against undefeated Minnesota, a team they could face again in the Big Ten Championship. With Ohio State coming to town later in the month, the question surrounding the Big Ten has been if the conference could send two teams to the CFP this year.

5. #13 Minnesota (Big Ten, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: vs #5 Penn State

Minnesota will surely jump in the rankings if they can take down their first true test against Penn State on Saturday. Iowa and Wisconsin are also games that could decide the fate of a West Division that is much stronger overall this season than last.

6. #4 Clemson (ACC, 9-0):

Loss: None
Next up: @ NC State

Clemson should cruise this weekend against the Wolfpack before taking on Wake Forest in an ACC Atlantic title game. However, one loss would surely derail any hopes of defending a title due to the strength of not only the SEC, but also the Big Ten.

7. #11 Baylor (Big XII, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: @ TCU

Baylor gets another true conference test against TCU before taking on Oklahoma and Texas in back-to-back weekends. An undefeated Big 12 champ will definitely find their way into the playoff regardless of the outcomes for Alabama vs LSU and Penn State vs Ohio State.

8. #6 Georgia (SEC, 7-1):

Loss: vs South Carolina (20-17)
Next up: vs Missouri

Georgia just regained control of their playoff destiny. If they win out and beat Alabama or LSU in a SEC Championship, they’ll see themselves reach the CFP. They still have to take on Auburn and Texas A&M down the stretch.

9. #9 Oklahoma (Big XII, 7-1):

Loss: @ #20 Kansas State (48-41)
Next up: vs Iowa State

Oklahoma will have to keep rooting for a rematch with Kansas State and for the Big Ten and SEC to only produce one worthy playoff team. A one-loss Big 12 champ will likely make the CFP, but some help would be appreciated by the Sooners.

10. #7 Oregon (Pac-12, 8-1):

Loss: @ #12 Auburn (27-21)
Next up: BYE

Oregon and the rest of the Pac-12 are looking at Utah and making sure they continue to win. With Oregon’s victory over USC, the Utes take back control of the South. Oregon should have no problems with Arizona, Arizona State, and Oregon State to close the season.

11. #8 Utah (Pac-12, 8-1):

Loss: @ USC (30-23)
Next up: BYE

Utah regained control of the South thanks to Oregon’s win over USC. With UCLA, Arizona, and Colorado on schedule, a Pac-12 Championship matchup with Oregon looks inevitable and can even send one of them to a semifinal slot.

12. #22 Wake Forest (ACC, 7-1):

Loss: vs Louisville (62-59)
Next up: @ Virginia Tech

With #4 Clemson being the only remaining ranked opposition on schedule, both of these Atlantic teams should be rooting for Virginia or Pitt to continue to win games in the Coastal. Due to their loss to Louisville in a game where they lost their starting QB, the Demon Deacons will need a lot of help even if they find themselves as one-loss ACC champs.

13. #16 Wisconsin (Big Ten, 6-2):

Loss: @ Illinois (24-23) and @ #3 Ohio State (38-7)
Next up: vs #18 Iowa

Wisconsin and Iowa face off in an elimination game for both teams. With undefeated Minnesota still having to play Penn State and Iowa, Wisconsin could find themselves in contention for a West Division bid to the Big Ten title game.

14. #18 Iowa (Big Ten, 6-2):

Losses: @ #14 Michigan (10-3) and vs #5 Penn State (17-12)
Next up: @ #16 Wisconsin

Iowa can still win the West, but they’ll need help from Penn State or Wisconsin against Minnesota. After this past weekend of games, Iowa has a better shot at advancing to a semifinal than other two-loss teams.

15. #17 Cincinnati (The American, 7-1):

Loss: @ #3 Ohio State (42-0)
Next up: vs UConn

Cincinnati barely escaped East Carolina this past weekend. If the Bearcats beat Memphis in the season finale, they’ll play SMU or Navy in a conference championship. They can lose to Memphis and still play the Tigers again in a conference championship.

16. #19 Memphis (The American, 8-1):

Loss: @ Temple (30-28)
Next up: BYE

After ending SMU’s perfect season, the Tigers now control their conference destiny. Cincinnati is still on schedule in a must-win game that will decide if the two possibly meet again in the conference championship the following week.

17. #25 Navy (The American, 7-1):

Loss: @ Memphis (35-23)
Next up: @ #15 Notre Dame

Notre Dame and SMU will be huge tests in back-to-back weeks for the Midshipmen, who still need Memphis to lose (most likely to Cincinnati) to reach the American Championship game. With their strength of schedule and SMU’s loss, they’ve now jumped ahead of some two-loss teams that most likely won’t be playing in their conference championship games.

18. #23 SMU (The American, 8-1):

Loss: @ Memphis (54-48)
Next up: vs East Carolina

SMU’s unbeaten season was put to rest by Memphis. With little hope of even reaching the American Championship game, SMU will need to make statements against Navy and Tulane down the stretch and also hope that Cincinnati beats Memphis in the season finale.

19. #10 Florida (SEC, 7-2):

Loss: @ #1 LSU (42-28) and vs #6 Georgia (24-17)
Next up: vs Vanderbilt

With their loss to Georgia in a game that all but decided the SEC East, the Gators are now a team that could see themselves get jumped in future rankings. A two-loss team has never made the CFP, albeit without a conference championship.

20. #12 Auburn (SEC, 7-2):

Losses: @ #10 Florida (24-13) and @ #1 LSU (23-20)
Next up: BYE

Auburn gets Georgia after the bye week and Alabama to close the season. Like Florida, these two-loss teams can get hopped in future rankings as their conference championship hopes diminish.

21. #14 Michigan (Big Ten, 7-2):

Loss: @ #16 Wisconsin (35-14) and @ #5 Penn State (28-21)
Next up: BYE

Michigan would still need a decent amount of help to reach the Big Ten Championship. Without a conference title, like Florida and Auburn, they will have to hope for complete chaos down the stretch.

22. #20 Kansas State (Big XII, 6-2):

Losses: @ Oklahoma State (26-13) and vs #11 Baylor (31-12)
Next up: @ Texas

The Wildcats keep winning, but they still need help to reach the Big 12 Championship game. They can benefit from Baylor hitting the bulk of their schedule and facing Texas this weekend.

23. Indiana (Big Ten, 7-2):

Losses: vs #3 Ohio State (51-10) and @ Michigan State (40-31)
Next up: vs Northwestern

Indiana is not out of the hunt just yet, but they’d need just about everything to go wrong for Ohio State and Penn State to reach the Big Ten Championship game. Even if Ohio State loses to Penn State and Michigan, they’d still have tiebreaker over the Hoosiers.

Eliminated:

Virginia Tech (ACC, 5-3): Eliminated with week 10 loss to #15 Notre Dame, 21-20.
App State (Sun Belt, 7-1): Eliminated with week 10 loss to Georgia Southern, 24-21.

VT is eliminated, along wit the entire Coastal Division. App State suffered their first loss of the season, good enough to eliminate any Sun Belt team.

Here is a complete list of teams that have been eliminated this season:

Eliminated in Week 0/1 (21 teams):

Akron: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Illinois, 42-3.
Arkansas State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to #23 SMU, 37-30.
Ball State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Indiana, 34-24.
Coastal Carolina: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Eastern Michigan, 30-23.
Colorado State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Colorado, 52-13.
Florida Atlantic: Eliminated with week 1 loss to #3 Ohio State, 45-21.
Florida International: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Tulane, 42-14.
Fresno State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to USC, 31-23.
Georgia Southern: Eliminated with week 1 loss to #1 LSU, 55-3.
LA-Lafayette: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Mississippi State, 38-28.
Liberty: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Syracuse, 24-0.
Louisiana Tech: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Texas, 45-14.
Miami (OH): Eliminated with week 1 loss to #18 Iowa, 38-14.
Middle Tennessee: Eliminated with week 1 loss to #14 Michigan, 40-12.
New Mexico State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Washington State, 58-7.
Rice: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Army, 14-7.
South Alabama: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Nebraska, 35-21.
Texas State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Texas A&M, 41-7.
Toledo: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Kentucky, 38-24.
UMass: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Rutgers, 48-21.
Western Kentucky: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Central Arkansas, 35-28.

Eliminated in Week 2 (21 teams):

Army: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #14 Michigan, 24-21 (OT).
Bowling Green: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #20 Kansas State, 52-0.
Buffalo: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #5 Penn State, 45-13.
Central Michigan: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #16 Wisconsin, 61-0.
Charlotte: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Appalachian State, 56-41.
Eastern Michigan: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Kentucky, 38-17.
LA-Monroe: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Florida State, 45-44 (OT).
Marshall: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #21 Boise State, 14-7.
Nevada: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #7 Oregon, 77-6.
North Texas: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #23 SMU, 49-27.
Northern Illinois: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #8 Utah, 35-17.
Ohio: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Pittsburgh, 20-10.
Old Dominion: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Virginia Tech, 31-17.
San Jose State: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Tulsa, 34-16.
South Florida: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Georgia Tech, 14-10.
Southern Mississippi: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Mississippi State, 38-15.
Tennessee: Eliminated with week 2 loss to BYU, 29-26.
UNLV: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Arkansas State, 43-17.
UTEP: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Texas Tech, 38-3.
UTSA: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #11 Baylor, 63-14.
Western Michigan: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Michigan State, 51-17.

Eliminated in Week 3 (10 teams):

East Carolina: Eliminated with week 3 loss to #25 Navy, 42-10.
Georgia State: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Western Michigan, 57-10.
Georgia Tech: Eliminated with week 3 loss to The Citadel, 27-24 (OT).
Hawai’i: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Washington, 52-20.
Houston: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Washington State, 31-24.
Kent State: Eliminated with week 3 loss to #12 Auburn, 55-16.
New Mexico: Eliminated with week 3 loss to #15 Notre Dame, 66-14.
Troy: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Southern Miss, 47-42.
Tulsa: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Oklahoma State, 40-21.
UCLA: Eliminated with week 3 loss to #9 Oklahoma, 48-14.

Eliminated in Week 4 (11 teams):

Air Force: Eliminated with week 4 loss to #21 Boise State, 30-19.
BYU: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Washington, 45-19.
Illinois: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Nebraska, 42-38.
Kansas: Eliminated with week 4 loss to West Virginia, 29-24.
San Diego State: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Utah State, 23-17.
South Carolina: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Missouri, 34-14.
Stanford: Eliminated with week 4 loss to #7 Oregon, 21-6.
UConn: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Indiana, 38-3.
UNC: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Appalachian State, 34-31.
Vanderbilt: Eliminated with week 4 loss to #1 LSU, 66-38.
Wyoming: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Tulsa, 24-21.

Eliminated in Week 5 (8 teams):

Arkansas: Eliminated with week 5 loss to Texas A&M, 31-27.
Kentucky: Eliminated with week 5 loss to South Carolina, 24-7.
Northwestern: Eliminated with week 5 loss to #16 Wisconsin, 24-15.
Ole Miss: Eliminated with week 5 loss to #2 Alabama, 59-31.
Oregon State: Eliminated with week 5 loss to Stanford, 31-28.
Purdue: Eliminated with week 5 loss to #13 Minnesota, 38-31.
Rutgers: Eliminated with week 5 loss to #14 Michigan, 52-0.
UAB: Eliminated with week 5 loss to Western Kentucky, 20-13.

Eliminated in Week 6 (5 teams):

Boston College: Eliminated with week 6 loss to Louisville, 41-39.
Miami (FL): Eliminated with week 6 loss to Virginia Tech, 42-35.
Syracuse: Eliminated with week 6 loss to NC State, 16-10.
UCF: Eliminated with week 6 loss to #17 Cincinnati, 27-24.
Utah State: Eliminated with week 6 loss to #1 LSU, 42-6.

Eliminated in Week 7 (11 teams):

Colorado: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #7 Oregon, 45-3.
Florida State: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #4 Clemson, 45-14.
Maryland: Eliminated with week 7 loss to Purdue, 40-14.
Michigan State: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #16 Wisconsin, 38-0.
Mississippi State: Eliminated with week 7 loss to Tennessee, 20-10.
Nebraska: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #13 Minnesota, 34-7.
Texas A&M: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #2 Alabama, 47-28.
Texas Tech: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #11 Baylor, 33-30.
USC: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #15 Notre Dame, 30-27.
Washington State: Eliminated with week 7 loss to Arizona State, 38-34.
West Virginia: Eliminated with week 7 loss to Iowa State, 38-14.

Eliminated in Week 8 (11 teams):

Arizona: Eliminated with week 8 loss to USC, 41-14.
#22 Boise State: Eliminated with week 8 loss to BYU, 28-25.
California: Eliminated with week 8 loss to Oregon State, 21-17.
Duke: Eliminated with week 8 loss to Virginia, 48-14.
NC State: Eliminated with week 8 loss to Boston College, 45-24.
Louisville: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #4 Clemson, 45-10.
Oklahoma State: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #11 Baylor, 45-27.
TCU: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #20 Kansas State, 24-17.
Temple: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #23 SMU, 45-21.
Tulane: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #19 Memphis, 47-17.
Washington: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #7 Oregon, 35-31.

Eliminated in Week 9 (7 teams):

Arizona State: Eliminated with week 9 loss to UCLA, 42-32.
Iowa State: Eliminated with week 9 loss to Oklahoma State, 34-27.
Missouri: Eliminated with week 9 loss to Kentucky, 29-7.
#16 Notre Dame: Eliminated with week 9 loss to #14 Michigan, 45-14.
Pittsburgh: Eliminated with week 9 loss to Miami (FL), 16-12.
Texas: Eliminated with week 9 loss to TCU, 37-27.
Virginia: Eliminated with week 9 loss to Louisville, 28-21.

Eliminated in Week 10 (2 teams):

Virginia Tech: Eliminated with week 10 loss to #15 Notre Dame, 21-20.
Appalachian State: Eliminated with week 10 loss to Georgia Southern, 24-21.

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