The College Football Playoff Eliminator: Week 10

Another week, another top-10 team takes a loss as Kansas State outlasts former-#5 Oklahoma. The field thins once again as the ACC and Big XII take tumbles away from the College Football Playoff (CFP).

Teams are listed in order of if they were to win their remaining games, who has the best chance at reaching the CFP. Here is where we stand on a national level this season:

1. #1 LSU (SEC, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: BYE

Heading into the bye week, Heisman frontrunner QB Joe Burrow and company take the number one spot in the AP Poll. After the bye week, they’ll play #2 Alabama in a huge showdown that will decide the fate of the SEC West.

2. #2 Alabama (SEC, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: BYE

Alabama dismantled Arkansas without QB Tua Tagovailoa. If he returns healthy, a Heisman matchup for the ages will be taking place when #1 LSU comes to town.

3. #3 Ohio State (Big Ten, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: BYE

After the bye, the Buckeyes get lowly Maryland and Rutgers before taking on #5 Penn State and #14 Michigan in games that will decide the Big Ten East.

4. #5 Penn State (Big Ten, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: BYE

Michigan State didn’t stand much of a chance as Penn State and Ohio State race towards a Big Ten East title. Unlike the Buckeyes, the Nittany Lions will get a date with undefeated #13 Minnesota on November 9th.

5. #13 Minnesota (Big Ten, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: BYE

Minnesota’s run game has been prolific, but they’ll need to be stronger in all facets of the game if they want to compete with #5 Penn State, #19 Iowa, and #18 Wisconsin in a brutal Big Ten slate.

6. #4 Clemson (ACC, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: vs Wofford

With #23 Wake Forest being the only remaining ranked team on schedule, Clemson has no room for error. With that game likely deciding the ACC Atlantic, the ACC Coastal remains an absolute mess as no team has taken a commanding lead.

7. #12 Baylor (Big XII, 7-0):

Loss: None
Next up: vs West Virginia (Thursday)

With Oklahoma losing, Baylor remains in full control of the Big XII’s CFP hopes. If they finish undefeated they’ll probably get into the semifinals, although TCU, #10 Oklahoma, and Texas need to get back to winning to be important wins down the stretch.

8. #6 Florida (SEC, 7-1):

Loss: @ #1 LSU (42-28)
Next up: vs Georgia

#8 Georgia enters The Swamp in an important SEC East matchup. The winner will likely play #1 LSU or #2 Alabama in the SEC Championship. If Florida wins the SEC, they’ll get in over every team that isn’t an undefeated conference champion.

9. #8 Georgia (SEC, 6-1):

Loss: vs South Carolina (20-17)
Next up: @ #6 Florida

Georgia and Florida play this weekend to decide their seasons’ fates.

10. #10 Oklahoma (Big XII, 7-1):

Loss: @ #22 Kansas State (48-41)
Next up: BYE

Ouch. Oklahoma and the entire Big XII took a huge tumble after losing to Kansas State. That opens the door even wider for the SEC or Big Ten to potentially send two teams to the CFP; it’ll be even more likely if LSU / Alabama or Ohio State / Penn State are close games.

11. #7 Oregon (Pac-12, 7-1):

Loss: @ #11 Auburn (27-21)
Next up: @ USC

Oregon doesn’t play another ranked team for the remainder of the year until a potential Pac-12 Championship with #9 Utah. However, the Ducks struggled to get away from Washington (35-31) and Washington State (37-35) the past two games.

12. #18 Wisconsin (Big Ten, 6-2):

Loss: @ Illinois (24-23) and @ #3 Ohio State (38-7)
Next up: BYE

Wisconsin can still win the Big Ten West and get to the title game, but their playoff hopes are looking very bleak after a beatdown in Columbus. #19 Iowa and #13 Minnesota have to be statement games for the Badgers.

13. #11 Auburn (SEC, 6-2):

Losses: @ #6 Florida (24-13) and @ #1 LSU (23-20)
Next up: vs Mississippi

Things just got a little more difficult for the Tigers, who do not control their own destiny in the West and still have to play #8 Georgia and #2 Alabama.

14. #9 Utah (Pac-12, 7-1):

Loss: @ USC (30-23)
Next up: @ Washington

Utah doesn’t control their own conference destiny thanks to their loss at USC, but they’ve moved into the AP Top 10 with their defensive play.

15. #23 Wake Forest (ACC, 6-1):

Loss: vs Louisville (62-59)
Next up: vs NC State

The Demon Deacons jumped back into the rankings and are #4 Clemson’s only ranked opponent left on schedule. That game will probably decide the Atlantic Division in a few weeks.

16. #15 SMU (The American, 8-0):

Loss: None
Next up: @ #24 Memphis

SMU will maintain sole control of the American West if they beat a ranked Memphis this weekend. If Navy continues to win, that could be a ranked opponent in late November. SMU should continue rooting for #17 Cincinnati to continue their winning ways.

17. #14 Michigan (Big Ten, 6-2):

Loss: @ #18 Wisconsin (35-14) and @ #5 Penn State (28-21)
Next up: @ Maryland

Michigan would need a ton of help to reach the Big Ten Championship, although their win over #16 Notre Dame helps their overall ranking. #3 Ohio State is looking stronger by the week and Michigan can’t afford a mistake when they play to end the season.

18. #19 Iowa (Big Ten, 6-2):

Losses: @ #14 Michigan (10-3) and vs #5 Penn State (17-12)
Next up: BYE

Iowa can win the Big Ten West outright if they take care of #18 Wisconsin and #13 Minnesota after the bye week. They’d still need a ton of teams to lose and to look very strong in a title game.

19. Navy (The American, 6-1):

Loss: @ Memphis (35-23)
Next up: @ UConn

With #16 Notre Dame and #15 SMU on schedule, Navy can make a statement and play a big role in the American’s chances of being a contender.

20. Virginia Tech (ACC, 5-2):

Losses: @ Boston College (35-28) and vs Duke (45-10)
Next up: @ #16 Notre Dame

Surprisingly, VT still controls their own ACC destiny and gets a date with a fallout Notre Dame team. If the Hokies can win the ACC Coastal, they’ll get a matchup with #4 Clemson or #23 Wake Forest.

21. #20 App State (Sun Belt, 7-0):

Loss: None
Next up: vs Georgia Southern

App State will need some American Conference chaos if they want to receive a New Year’s 6 bowl bid. The good news is that a lot of the American teams play each other.

22. #24 Memphis (The American, 7-1):

Loss: @ Temple (30-28)
Next up: vs #15 SMU

The big test is this weekend against undefeated SMU. #17 Cincinnati is also on schedule and can set up a rematch the following week in a conference championship if both teams continue to win.

23. #17 Cincinnati (The American, 6-1):

Loss: @ #3 Ohio State (42-0)
Next up: @ East Carolina

Cincinnati controls their own ACC destiny and they should be rooting for #15 SMU to beat #24 Memphis so that they can see an undefeated team in a conference championship game.

24. #22 Kansas State (Big XII, 5-2):

Losses: @ Oklahoma State (26-13) and vs #12 Baylor (31-12)
Next up: @ Kansas

The Wildcats upset Oklahoma to end up back in the rankings. They still need help to reach the conference championship game, but this win was a huge step in the right direction.

25. Indiana (Big Ten, 6-2):

Losses: vs #3 Ohio State (51-10) and @ Michigan State (40-31)
Next up: vs Northwestern

Indiana would need a lot to reach the Big Ten Championship out of the East, but they have continued to win and still get #5 Penn State and #14 Michigan late in the year.

Eliminated:

Arizona State (Pac-12, 5-3): Eliminated with week 9 loss to UCLA, 42-32.
Iowa State (Big XII, 5-3): Eliminated with week 9 loss to Oklahoma State, 34-27.
Missouri (SEC, 5-3): Eliminated with week 9 loss to Kentucky, 29-7.
#16 Notre Dame (Independent, 5-2): Eliminated with week 9 loss to #14 Michigan, 45-14.
Pittsburgh (ACC, 5-3): Eliminated with week 9 loss to Miami (FL), 16-12.
Texas (Big XII, 5-3): Eliminated with week 9 loss to TCU, 37-27.
Virginia (ACC, 5-3): Eliminated with week 9 loss to Louisville, 28-21.

The ACC Coastal took more of a fall as Notre Dame and Texas also find themselves in an unfamiliar position.


Here is a complete list of teams that have been eliminated this season:

Eliminated in Week 0/1 (21 teams):

Akron: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Illinois, 42-3.
Arkansas State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to #15 SMU, 37-30.
Ball State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Indiana, 34-24.
Coastal Carolina: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Eastern Michigan, 30-23.
Colorado State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Colorado, 52-13.
Florida Atlantic: Eliminated with week 1 loss to #3 Ohio State, 45-21.
Florida International: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Tulane, 42-14.
Fresno State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to USC, 31-23.
Georgia Southern: Eliminated with week 1 loss to #1 LSU, 55-3.
LA-Lafayette: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Mississippi State, 38-28.
Liberty: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Syracuse, 24-0.
Louisiana Tech: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Texas, 45-14.
Miami (OH): Eliminated with week 1 loss to #19 Iowa, 38-14.
Middle Tennessee: Eliminated with week 1 loss to #14 Michigan, 40-12.
New Mexico State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Washington State, 58-7.
Rice: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Army, 14-7.
South Alabama: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Nebraska, 35-21.
Texas State: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Texas A&M, 41-7.
Toledo: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Kentucky, 38-24.
UMass: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Rutgers, 48-21.
Western Kentucky: Eliminated with week 1 loss to Central Arkansas, 35-28.

Eliminated in Week 2 (21 teams):

Army: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #14 Michigan, 24-21 (OT).
Bowling Green: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #22 Kansas State, 52-0.
Buffalo: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #5 Penn State, 45-13.
Central Michigan: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #18 Wisconsin, 61-0.
Charlotte: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #20 Appalachian State, 56-41.
Eastern Michigan: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Kentucky, 38-17.
LA-Monroe: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Florida State, 45-44 (OT).
Marshall: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #21 Boise State, 14-7.
Nevada: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #7 Oregon, 77-6.
North Texas: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #15 SMU, 49-27.
Northern Illinois: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #9 Utah, 35-17.
Ohio: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Pittsburgh, 20-10.
Old Dominion: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Virginia Tech, 31-17.
San Jose State: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Tulsa, 34-16.
South Florida: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Georgia Tech, 14-10.
Southern Mississippi: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Mississippi State, 38-15.
Tennessee: Eliminated with week 2 loss to BYU, 29-26.
UNLV: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Arkansas State, 43-17.
UTEP: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Texas Tech, 38-3.
UTSA: Eliminated with week 2 loss to #12 Baylor, 63-14.
Western Michigan: Eliminated with week 2 loss to Michigan State, 51-17.

Eliminated in Week 3 (10 teams):

East Carolina: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Navy, 42-10.
Georgia State: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Western Michigan, 57-10.
Georgia Tech: Eliminated with week 3 loss to The Citadel, 27-24 (OT).
Hawai’i: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Washington, 52-20.
Houston: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Washington State, 31-24.
Kent State: Eliminated with week 3 loss to #11 Auburn, 55-16.
New Mexico: Eliminated with week 3 loss to #16 Notre Dame, 66-14.
Troy: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Southern Miss, 47-42.
Tulsa: Eliminated with week 3 loss to Oklahoma State, 40-21.
UCLA: Eliminated with week 3 loss to #10 Oklahoma, 48-14.

Eliminated in Week 4 (11 teams):

Air Force: Eliminated with week 4 loss to #21 Boise State, 30-19.
BYU: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Washington, 45-19.
Illinois: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Nebraska, 42-38.
Kansas: Eliminated with week 4 loss to West Virginia, 29-24.
#25 San Diego State: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Utah State, 23-17.
South Carolina: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Missouri, 34-14.
Stanford: Eliminated with week 4 loss to #7 Oregon, 21-6.
UConn: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Indiana, 38-3.
UNC: Eliminated with week 4 loss to #20 Appalachian State, 34-31.
Vanderbilt: Eliminated with week 4 loss to #1 LSU, 66-38.
Wyoming: Eliminated with week 4 loss to Tulsa, 24-21.

Eliminated in Week 5 (8 teams):

Arkansas: Eliminated with week 5 loss to Texas A&M, 31-27.
Kentucky: Eliminated with week 5 loss to South Carolina, 24-7.
Northwestern: Eliminated with week 5 loss to #18 Wisconsin, 24-15.
Ole Miss: Eliminated with week 5 loss to #2 Alabama, 59-31.
Oregon State: Eliminated with week 5 loss to Stanford, 31-28.
Purdue: Eliminated with week 5 loss to #13 Minnesota, 38-31.
Rutgers: Eliminated with week 5 loss to #14 Michigan, 52-0.
UAB: Eliminated with week 5 loss to Western Kentucky, 20-13.

Eliminated in Week 6 (5 teams):

Boston College: Eliminated with week 6 loss to Louisville, 41-39.
Miami (FL): Eliminated with week 6 loss to Virginia Tech, 42-35.
Syracuse: Eliminated with week 6 loss to NC State, 16-10.
UCF: Eliminated with week 6 loss to #17 Cincinnati, 27-24.
Utah State: Eliminated with week 6 loss to #1 LSU, 42-6.

Eliminated in Week 7 (11 teams):

Colorado: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #7 Oregon, 45-3.
Florida State: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #4 Clemson, 45-14.
Maryland: Eliminated with week 7 loss to Purdue, 40-14.
Michigan State: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #18 Wisconsin, 38-0.
Mississippi State: Eliminated with week 7 loss to Tennessee, 20-10.
Nebraska: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #13 Minnesota, 34-7.
Texas A&M: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #2 Alabama, 47-28.
Texas Tech: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #12 Baylor, 33-30.
USC: Eliminated with week 7 loss to #16 Notre Dame, 30-27.
Washington State: Eliminated with week 7 loss to Arizona State, 38-34.
West Virginia: Eliminated with week 7 loss to Iowa State, 38-14.

Eliminated in Week 8 (11 teams):

Arizona: Eliminated with week 8 loss to USC, 41-14.
#21 Boise State: Eliminated with week 8 loss to BYU, 28-25.
California: Eliminated with week 8 loss to Oregon State, 21-17.
Duke: Eliminated with week 8 loss to Virginia, 48-14.
NC State: Eliminated with week 8 loss to Boston College, 45-24.
Louisville: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #4 Clemson, 45-10.
Oklahoma State: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #12 Baylor, 45-27.
TCU: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #22 Kansas State, 24-17.
Temple: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #15 SMU, 45-21.
Tulane: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #24 Memphis, 47-17.
Washington: Eliminated with week 8 loss to #7 Oregon, 35-31.

Eliminated in Week 9 (7 teams):

Arizona State: Eliminated with week 9 loss to UCLA, 42-32.
Iowa State: Eliminated with week 9 loss to Oklahoma State, 34-27.
Missouri: Eliminated with week 9 loss to Kentucky, 29-7.
#16 Notre Dame: Eliminated with week 9 loss to #14 Michigan, 45-14.
Pittsburgh: Eliminated with week 9 loss to Miami (FL), 16-12.
Texas: Eliminated with week 9 loss to TCU, 37-27.
Virginia: Eliminated with week 9 loss to Louisville, 28-21.

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